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050619 U.S. Red Meat Output Should Increase

June 11, 2005

Washington - Total U.S. meat production forecast for 2005 is increased slightly, helped by an estimated increase in beef output because of slightly higher slaughter in the second quarter, according to the USDA's World Agricultural Outlook Board latest report.

In making the comment, the USDA noted, "Due to uncertainties as to the length of the bans on trade in ruminants and ruminant products because of the discovery of BSE in the United States and Canada, forecasts for 2005 and 2006 assume a continuation of policies currently in place among U.S. trading partners.

"It is assumed that the current delay in the implementation of the minimal-risk rule is temporary. Subsequent forecasts will reflect any announced changes."

The pork production forecast is raised slightly because slaughter weights are expected to be heavier than previously projected as weights have been running higher so far this year. The Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report, scheduled for release June 24, will provide an indication of producer farrowing intentions into 2006.

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